Authors:
Historic Era: Era 10: Contemporary United States (1968 to the present)
Historic Theme:
Subject:
June/July 2004 | Volume 55, Issue 3
Authors:
Historic Era: Era 10: Contemporary United States (1968 to the present)
Historic Theme:
Subject:
June/July 2004 | Volume 55, Issue 3
With American Heritage approaching its 50th birthday in December 2004, we’ve asked five prominent historians and cultural commentators to each pick ten leading developments in American life during the last half-century. In this issue, John Steele Gordon, American Heritage’s “The Business of America” columnist and the author of An Empire of Wealth: The Epic History of American Economic Power, 1607-2001, selects the ten biggest changes in business. In other issues this year, our authorities offer their choices of the half-century’s biggest transformations in politics, popular culture, innovation and technology, and the home and the family.
In 1954, the gross domestic product of the United States—the sum of all the goods and services produced in the country that year—was about $380 billion. In 2003, it was $10.9 trillion, more than 28 times as great in nominal terms. Even allowing for the very considerable inflation in the last 50 years, the economy is roughly six times as large as it was when American Heritage made its first appearance. So, the biggest change in American business in the last 50 years has been, simply, the growth of the American economy as a whole.
But how all that wealth is created—who creates it, and by what means—has changed almost beyond imagining. The reason is plain enough: the computer. It is the most profound technological development since the steam engine ignited the Industrial Revolution two centuries ago, perhaps since the agricultural revolution ignited civilization itself 10,000 years ago. None of the biggest changes in business in the last 50 years would have been possible—or would have evolved as they did- had it not been for the computer. So, while it easily ranks as the most important change, the computer, in truth, is behind nearly all the changes.
Look at a photograph of a typical office of the mid-50s and one of 2004, and the difference is instantly obvious: Every desk in the office now has a computer on it. Today, half of American workers use computers on a daily basis in their jobs; in 1954, perhaps one-tenth of one percent did. Moreover, not just office workers use computers. Farmers, garage mechanics, dentists, lumberjacks, and a thousand other kinds of workers now use computers in the daily course of business for purposes unique to each occupation.
To be sure, in 1954, computers were already making inroads into American business, especially in areas where data- processing was very intense, such as banking and insurance. But they were huge and hugely expensive, kept in special air-conditioned rooms and tended by men in white coats. Very few Americans had ever actually seen one. Today, about the only way for an American not to see one every day would be to stay in bed with the lights off.
The difference is the development, beginning in 1969, of the microprocessor, essentially a dirt-cheap computer on a silicon chip. A little more