Technology of the Future (October 1993 | Volume: 44, Issue: 6)

Technology of the Future

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Authors: John Steele Gordon

Historic Era: Era 4: Expansion and Reform (1801-1861)

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October 1993 | Volume 44, Issue 6

In May of 1927, a secretary rushed into her boss’ office shouting, “He did it! He did it! Lindbergh has landed in Paris!” The boss was unimpressed. “Don’t you understand?” she asked. “Lindbergh has flown the Atlantic all by himself.”

“A man can do anything by himself,” the boss replied quietly. “Let me know when a committee has flown the Atlantic.” The story, of course, is apocryphal, but it demonstrates a fundamental aspect of the human condition: Genius, that strange and potent combination of insight, faith, determination, and—almost always—youth, inheres in individuals.

 

That’s why, despite much recent talk, governments will never be any good at fostering new technologies: governments are nothing more than very large committees. Having to cater to the powerful, governments are wont to favor what is over what might be. Fearing accusations of wasting public money on crackpot schemes, governments must rely on senior experts, who all too often are set in old ways of thinking.

The result is a rich literature of clouded-crystal-ball pronouncements, deadend government research projects, and spectacularly missed opportunities.

But, if it’s any comfort to advocates of big government, even the geniuses who make the technological breakthroughs usually fail to foresee how their creations will actually play out in the future. Like the rest of us, they are too deeply embedded in the world they know. James Watt could hardly have realized that his rotary steam engine would bring forth a whole new civilization. Henry Ford sought only to free people from the tyranny of the horse. He had no idea he was creating a profound instrument of social change.

Or consider Samuel F. B. Morse. Morse thought his telegraph would be limited to governments sending messages of extreme urgency. That, after all, is what all earlier attempts to solve the problem of long-distance communication had been about. In fact, although he was over fifty when he finally perfected his telegraph, Morse lived plenty long enough to see the world remade by the product of his genius.

Born into a distinguished New England family in 1791, Morse was trained as a painter, at which profession he scraped a most inadequate living during much of his life. He had a genius for portraiture but aspired to paint the sort of pictures he thought “important,” large allegorical canvases for which he had no more than a pedestrian talent. With much time on his hands, he dabbled in many ideas. Returning from Europe in 1832, he talked on shipboard with Charles Thomas Jackson, a Boston chemist who had been researching electricity in Europe, and then and there he had his fundamental insight. “If … the presence of electricity can be made visible in any part of the circuit,” he said, “I see no reason why intelligence might not be instantaneously transmitted by electricity.”

Morse seems to have thought that most of his conception was original with him. In fact, hardly any of it was.

The problem